Friday, November 16, 2012

UFC 154 Preview



Main Event
Welterweight Championship
Georges St. Pierre vs Carlos Condit
22-2 Record 28-5
31 Age 28
 170 Weight 169
5'10 Height 6'2
  76" Reach 76"
    -335 Odds +270
Common Opponents:
Dan Hardy
St. Pierre won by Unanimous Decision at UFC 111 3/27/10
Condit won by TKO 1st Round at UFC 120 10/16/10

Jake Shields
St. Pierre won by Unanimous Decision at UFC 129 4/30/11
Condit lost by Unanimous Decision at ROTR 9 4/21/06

Frank Trigg
St. Pierre won by Submission 1st Round at UFC 54 8/20/05
Condit won by Submission 1st Round at ROTR 9 4/21/06

How They Got Here:  Georges St. Pierre is returning to action from a knee injury for the first time since his April, 2011 win over Jake Shields at UFC 129, the win was his 6th title defense in a row and 9th fight total.  Carlos Condit was originally scheduled to replace Nick Diaz at UFC 137 to face St. Pierre but the knee injury to the champion forced the fight to be canceled.  Condit would eventually take on GSP's original opponent Diaz at UFC 143 earlier this year and won by Unanimous Decision to become the UFC Interim Welterweight Champion.  The win extended Condit's winning streak to 5 in a row and 13 of his past 14 bouts.

What To Expect: What we apparently shouldn't expect is St. Pierre's knee to be an issue.  Condit would be ready to test that claim as he could very well has a similar game plan he had to defeated Diaz.  That game plan would be alot of movement keeping himself on the outside and using leg kicks.  Allowing room for GSP to set up a takedown could be risky though no matter how confident Condit is off his back.

My Prediction: Going out on a limb here but Condit by Decision

Johny Hendricks vs Martin Kampmann
13-1 Record 20-5
29 Age 30
171 Weight 171
5'9 Height 6'0
69" Reach 72"
-150 Odds +125
Common Opponents:
Rick Story
Hendricks lost by Unanimous Decision at The Ultimate Fighter 12 Finale 12/4/10
Kampmann won by Split Decision at UFC 139 11/19/11

How They Got Here: Hendricks has been a roll as of late as he backed up his stunning KO over Jon Fitch with a win over Fitch's teammate Josh Koscheck at UFC On Fox 3 that extended his win streak to 4 fights.  Kampmann has put together back to back fights that both could be considered "Come Back Of The Year" worthy performances.  Kampmann was able to submit Thiago Alves in the final minute of their UFC On FX 2 bout while he was able to escape the powerful Jake Ellenberger winning by TKO at The Ultimate Fighter 15 Finale.

What To Expect: A Fight Of The Night candidate this one could turn into a slug fest.  Hendricks the slugger and Kampmann the more technical of the 2, who has the advantage on the feet is hard to call but we have seen Kampmann hurt and Hendricks definitely has the power to test that chin.  On the ground Hendricks is a world class wrestler but Kampmann in his defense has very good submissions.

My Prediction: Hendricks by TKO 2nd Round

Francis Carmont vs Tom Lawlor
19-7 Record 8-4
31 Age 30
186 Weight 186
6'3 Height 6'0
78" Reach 74"
 -260 Odds +220
Common Opponents: none

How They Got Here: Carmont is currently on a 8 fight winning streak which includes his first 3 UFC fights.  His last 2 fights he won by Submission with the most recent being over Karlos Vemola at UFC On Fuel TV 4.  Lawlor is coming off an impressive win over Jason MacDonald at UFC On Fuel 3 in which won him Knock Out Of The Night.

What To Expect: Lawlor could find himself in a bind as although he has a solid wrestling base, it is Carmont who has shown to have a tricky ground game always threatening with submissions.  On the feet Carmont should have the clear advantage.

My Prediction: Carmont by Decision

Nick Ring vs Costa Philippou
13-1 Record 11-2
33 Age 32
 185 Weight 186
   6'0 Height 5'11
  74" Reach 73"
  +190 Odds -235
Common Opponents: 
Riki Fukuda
Ring won by Unanimous Decision at UFC 127 2/27/11
Philippou won by Unanimous Decision at UFC 148 7/7/12

Court McGee
Ring won by Unanimous Decision at UFC 149 7/21/12
Philippou won by Unanimous Decision at UFC On FX 3/13/12

How They Got Here: Ring got back to winning after losing his first career fight when he defeated Court McGee by Unanimous Decision at UFC 149. The streaking Philippou is currently riding a 4 fight winning streak after having lost his first UFC fight, he most recent win came over Riki Fukuda at UFC 148.

What To Expect: Can Ring avoid Philippou's powerful striking is the main question heading into this fight.  It is highly likely though that Ring will elect to stand with Phillipou even if he possibly has the edge on the ground.

My Prediction: Phillipou by Decision

Mark Hominick vs Pablo Garza
20-11 Record 11-3
30 Age 29
145.5 Weight 145
5'8 Height 6'1
68.5" Reach 73"
-320 Odds +255
Common Opponents: none

How They Got Here: Both could be fighting for their jobs with Hominick on a 3 fight skid while Garza has dropped his last 2.  Hominick's last lose was a Split Decision to Eddie Yagin at UFC 145 while Garza also lost a decision, his to Dennis Bermudez at UFC On Fox 3.

What To Expect: Although Garza has a significant height and reach advantage it possible could only play in his favor on the ground with triangles off his back.  Look for Hominick to get inside and control the fight with his footwork and standup game.

My Prediction: Hominick by Decision


Prelims
Patrick Cote vs Alessio Sakara
My Prediction: Cote by TKO 1st Round

Cyrille Diabate vs Chad Griggs
My Prediction: Griggs by TKO 1st Round

Mark Bocek vs Rafael Dos Anjos
My Prediction: Bocek by Decision

Sam Stout vs John Makdessi
My Prediction: Stout by Decision

Antonio Carvalho vs Rodrigo Damm
My Prediction: Carvalho by Decision

Matthew Riddle vs John Maguire
My Prediction: Riddle by Decision

Ivan Menjivar vs Azamat Gashimov
My Prediction: Menjivar by TKO 2nd Round

Steven Siler vs Darren Elkins
My Prediction: Elkins by Decision

(images courtesy of UFC.com)
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Thursday, November 8, 2012

UFC On Fuel TV 6 Predictions


Main Event
Rich Franklin vs Cung Le
My Prediction: Le by TKO 2nd Round

Thiago Silva vs Stanislav Nedkov
My Prediction: Silva by TKO 1st Round

Dong Hyun Kim vs Paulo Thiago
My Prediction: Kim by Decision

Takanori Gomi vs Mac Danzig
My Prediction: Gomi by TKO 1st Round

Jon Tuck vs Tie Quan Zhang
My Prediction: Tuck by TKO 1st Round

Takeya Mizugaki vs Jeff Hougland
My Prediction: Mizugaki by Decision

Alex Caceres vs Motonobu Tezuka
My Prediction: Caceres by Submission 1st Round

John Lineker vs Yasuhiro Urushitani
My Prediction: Urushitani by Decision

Riki Fukuda vs Tom DeBlass
My Prediction: Fukuda by Decision
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Bellator 80 Predictions


Main Event
Joe Warren vs Owen Evinger
My Prediction: Warren by Decision

Heavyweight Tournament Semi-Final
Alexander Volkov vs Vinicius Kappke de Quieroz
My Prediction: Volkov by TKO 1st Round

Featherweight Tournament Semi-Final
Rad Martinez vs Wagnney Fabiano
My Prediction: Fabiano by Submission 1st Round

Brett Cooper vs Darryl Cobb 
My Prediction: Cooper by TKO 1st Round

Ryan DeRocher vs Taylor Krahl
My Prediction: Krahl by Submission 1st Round

Cosmo Alexandre vs Josh Quayhagen
My Prediction: Quayhagen by Decision

Shanon Slack vs Sky Moiseichik
My Prediction: Slack by TKO 1st Round

Cristiano Souza vs Robert Otani
My Prediction: Souza by Submission 1st Round

Joe Vedepo vs Mike Bernhard
My Prediction: Vedepo by Decision

Brandon Girtz vs Michael Quinones
My Prediction: Girtz by Decision
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Thursday, November 1, 2012

Bellator 79 Prediction


Main Event
Heavyweight Tournament Semi-Final
Richard Hale vs Thiago Santos
My Prediction: Santos by Submission 1st Round

Featherweight Tournament Semi-Final
Shahbulat Shamhalaev vs Mike Richman
My Prediction: Richman by Decision

Douglas Lima vs Kobe Ortiz
My Prediction: Lima by TKO 1st Round

Ryan Ford vs Kyle Baker
My Prediction: Ford by TKO 1st Round

Josh Appelt vs Ed Carpenter
My Prediction: Carpenter by Submission 1st Round

Guillaume DeLorenzi vs John Carson
My Prediction: Delorenzi by TKO 1st Round

Christ Franck vs Marcus Aurelio
My Prediction: Aurelio by TKO 1st Round

Vitaly Minakov vs Vladimir Starcencov
My Prediction: Minakov by Submission 1st Round

Magomedrasul Khasbulaev vs Josh Pulsifer
My Prediction: Khasbulaev by TKO 1st Round
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Thursday, October 25, 2012

Bellator 78 Predictions


Main Event
Welterweight Tournament Semi-Final
Lyman Good vs Michail Tsarev
My Prediction: Good by Decision

Welterweight Tournament Semi-Final
Andrey Koreshkov vs Marius Zaromskis
My Prediction: Koreshkov by Decision

Daniel Straus vs Alvin Robinson
My Prediction: Straus by Decision

Brain Rogers vs Dominque Steele
My Prediction: Rogers by TKO 1st Round

Zoila Gurgel vs Casey Noland
My Prediction: Gurgel by Decision

Jason Butcher vs Shaun Asher
My Prediction: Butcher by Submission 1st Round

Billy Horne vs Trey Houston
My Prediction: Houston by TKO 1st Round

Mikkel Parlo vs Jared Combs
My Prediction: Parlo by TKO 1st Round

Rob Hanna vs Rocky Edwards
My Prediction: Hanna by Decision

Justin McNally vs David Blattman
My Prediction: Blattman by Submission 1st Round
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Thursday, October 18, 2012

Bellator 77 Predictions


Main Event
Lightweight Tournament Quarter Final
Rich Clementi vs Alexander Sarnavskiy
My Prediction: Sarnavskiy by TKO 1st Round

Lightweight Tournament Quarter Final
Dave Jensen vs Magomed Saadulaev
My Prediction: Jansen by Decision

Lightweight Tournament Quarter Final
Marcin Held vs Murad Machaev
My Prediction: Held by Submission 1st Round

Lightweight Tournament Quarter Final
Ricardo Tirloni vs Rene Nazare
My Prediction: Nazare by Decision

Matt Lozano vs Dave Morgan
My Prediction: Morgan by Decision 

Lew Polley vs Carmelo Marrero
My Prediction: Marrero by Submission 1st Round

Darrell Horcher vs EJ Brooks
My Prediction: Brooks by Decision

Cosmo Alexandre vs Mike Bannon
My Prediction: Alexandre by TKO 1st Round

Duane Bastress vs Ariel Sepulveda
My Prediction: Bastress by TKO 1st Round

Brett Martinez vs Eric Albright
My Prediction: Martinez by TKO 1st Round
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Friday, October 12, 2012

UFC 153 Predictions


Main Event
Anderson Silva vs Stephan Bonnar
My Prediction: Silva by TKO 3rd Round

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira vs Dave Herman
My Prediction: Nogueira by TKO 1st Round

Glover Teixeira vs Fabio Maldonaldo
My Prediction: Teixeira by TKO 1st Round

Jon Fitch vs Erick Silva
My Prediction: Silva by TKO 2nd Round

Phil Davis vs Wagner Prado
My Prediction: Davis by Decision

Demian Maia vs Rick Story
My Prediction: Maia by Submission 1st Round

Rony Jason vs Sam Sicilia
My Prediction: Jason by Decision

Gleison Tibau vs Francisco Trinaldo
My Prediction: Tibau by Decision

Diego Brandao vs Joey Gambino
My Prediction: Gambino by Decision

Sergio Moraes vs Renee Forte
My Prediction: Moraes by Submission 1st Round

Chris Camozzi vs Luiz Cane
My Prediction: Camozzi by Decision

Cristiano Marcello vs Reza Madadi
My Prediction: Madadi by Decision

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